长征十号
Family-level launch record combining canonical variants, historical missions, public cadence forecasts, and available payload performance specs.
Historical missions are grouped by actual launch year. Forecast cadence uses family-level launch-rate rows.
| Year | Historical missions | Forecast launches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 4 |
| 2027 | 0 | 4 |
| 2028 | 0 | 6 |
| 2029 | 0 | 8 |
| 2030 | 0 | 10 |
| 2031 | 0 | 10 |
| 2032 | 0 | 10 |
| 2033 | 0 | 12 |
| 2034 | 0 | 12 |
| 2035 | 0 | 12 |
| 2036 | 0 | 12 |
| 2037 | 0 | 12 |
| 2038 | 0 | 12 |
| 2039 | 0 | 12 |
| 2040 | 0 | 12 |
| 2041 | 0 | 12 |
Payload capacity by variant and target orbit when structured capacity rows are available.
| Variant | Orbit | Capacity | Altitude | Inclination | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Long March 10 | LEO | 70,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | GlobalSecurity CZ-10 |
Long March 10 | TLI | 27,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | China State Council Long March 10 |
Latest launched missions using variants in this family.
| Mission | Variant | Launch |
|---|---|---|
| CX-26 Mission | Long March 10B | Jul 10, 2026 |
Upcoming mission rows with announced launch timing.
| Mission | Variant | Announced |
|---|---|---|
No forecasted missionsNo upcoming announced mission rows are linked to this vehicle family. | ||
Canonical variants rolled up into this launch vehicle family.
| Variant | Stages | Missions | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
Long March 10 | Not stated | 0 | Development |
Long March 10A | Not stated | 0 | Development |
Long March 10B | 2 | 1 | Active |
1 launch location represented.
| Year | Location | Launches | Confidence | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 4 | 20% | Chinese development heavy-launch variant; low-confidence default below mature Long March family rates. |
| 2027 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 4 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2028 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 6 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2029 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 8 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2030 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 10 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2031 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 10 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2032 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 10 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2033 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2034 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2035 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2036 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2037 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2038 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2039 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2040 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2041 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
Chinese development heavy-launch variant; low-confidence default below mature Long March family rates.
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
Long March 10B | LEO | 16,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | RocketLaunch.org Long March 10B |
Long March 10A | LEO | 14,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | China State Council Long March 10 Derivative |
The vehicle in the images is a CZ-10 test vehicle.
The in-flight abort test of the Mengzhou spacecraft also served as a flight test of the Long March 10 launch vehicle.
The CZ-10 vehicle is expected to have seven engines installed.
Three engines on the Long March 10 test stage were visibly lit during the ascent phase.
The CZ-10 stage recovery barge remains under fitting at a shipyard.
The CZ-10 test vehicle is fitted with grid fins and hooks, hardware consistent with mid-air capture of a returning stage.
The CZ-10 test stage visible in the images shows a full set of seven engines at its base.
The CCTV footage shows the launch, capsule splashdown, and booster landing burn from the Long March-10 test flight.
China conducted a Long March 10A first stage recovery test associated with the February 11, 2026 launch campaign.
The Long March 10 series rocket conducted a low-altitude flight test that was successful.
The Long March 10A first stage splashed down on February 11, 2026.
A low-altitude demonstration verification of the Long March 10 carrier rocket and a maximum dynamic pressure escape test of the Mengzhou crewed spacecraft were successful.
The flight also served as a flight test of the Long March 10 launch vehicle.
The Long March-10 (CZ-10) carrier rocket system conducted a low-altitude demonstration verification flight.
The Long March 10A rocket first stage performed a splashdown on February 11, 2026.
The Long March 10 first stage deployed hooking arms prior to splashdown.
CMSA plans the first full-duration static fire test of the Long March 10 triple-core configuration later in 2026.
A possible CZ-10 (Long March 10) test-stage booster is visible floating in the sea in the post’s attached image.
A recovery attempt of the Long March 10A first stage is planned for the next launch.
The CZ-10 test vehicle displays the Long March emblem on its lower stage.