长征十号
Family-level launch record combining canonical variants, historical missions, public cadence forecasts, and available payload performance specs.
Historical missions are grouped by actual launch year. Forecast cadence uses family-level launch-rate rows.
| Year | Historical missions | Forecast launches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 4 |
| 2027 | 0 | 4 |
| 2028 | 0 | 6 |
| 2029 | 0 | 8 |
| 2030 | 0 | 10 |
| 2031 | 0 | 10 |
| 2032 | 0 | 10 |
| 2033 | 0 | 12 |
| 2034 | 0 | 12 |
| 2035 | 0 | 12 |
| 2036 | 0 | 12 |
| 2037 | 0 | 12 |
| 2038 | 0 | 12 |
| 2039 | 0 | 12 |
| 2040 | 0 | 12 |
| 2041 | 0 | 12 |
Payload capacity by variant and target orbit when structured capacity rows are available.
| Variant | Orbit | Capacity | Altitude | Inclination | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Long March 10 | LEO | 70,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | GlobalSecurity CZ-10 |
Long March 10 | TLI | 27,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | China State Council Long March 10 |
Latest launched missions using variants in this family.
| Mission | Variant | Launch |
|---|---|---|
| CX-26 Mission | Long March 10B | Jul 10, 2026 |
Upcoming mission rows with announced launch timing.
| Mission | Variant | Announced |
|---|---|---|
No forecasted missionsNo upcoming announced mission rows are linked to this vehicle family. | ||
Canonical variants rolled up into this launch vehicle family.
| Variant | Stages | Missions | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
Long March 10 | Not stated | 0 | Development |
Long March 10A | Not stated | 0 | Development |
Long March 10B | 2 | 1 | Active |
1 launch location represented.
| Year | Location | Launches | Confidence | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 4 | 20% | Chinese development heavy-launch variant; low-confidence default below mature Long March family rates. |
| 2027 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 4 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2028 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 6 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2029 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 8 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2030 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 10 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2031 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 10 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2032 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 10 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2033 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2034 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2035 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2036 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2037 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2038 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2039 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2040 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2041 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
Chinese development heavy-launch variant; low-confidence default below mature Long March family rates.
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
Long March 10B | LEO | 16,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | RocketLaunch.org Long March 10B |
Long March 10A | LEO | 14,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | China State Council Long March 10 Derivative |
A Long March 10 short-tank core with a full set of seven engines completed a static test fire at Wenchang next to its future LC-3 launch pad on February 11, 2026.
The Mengzhou Max-Q abort test is associated with the Long March 10A and dated 11 February.
The Long March 10A first stage completed a smooth descent and splashdown.
The low-altitude demonstration verification of the Long March-10 and the Mengzhou maximum dynamic pressure abort flight test were successfully implemented together.
The China Manned Space Agency completed an integrated flight test of the Mengzhou crew capsule and the Long March 10 reusable rocket on Feb. 10, 2026.
The CZ-10 test article on the pad has an additional mockup installed on top of the short test vehicle.
The CZ-10 test vehicle includes a static fire stage at the bottom, an inter-stage, a gridfins-and-hooks stage, and a Mengzhou section on the upper stack.
The successful recovery of the Long March 10 booster demonstrates China’s possession of vertical takeoff, vertical landing (VTVL) capabilities for heavy-lift vehicles.
A Long March 10A first stage splashed down and was captured on drone footage on Feb 11, 2026.
A recovery ship was standing by very close to the Long March 10A first stage splashdown.
The first stage of China’s Long March 10 deployed hooking arms prior to splashdown.
The interstage appears to have separated from the CZ-10 test stage in the images.
The CZ-10 test vehicle is fitted with five real engines and two mock-up engines.
The mission is a Mengzhou Max-Q abort test combined with a CZ-10 stage test flight.
The CZ-10 test vehicle was fitted with five real engines and two mock-up engines.
A Long March 10 (CZ-10) test stage lifted off on February 11, 2026.
A debut orbital flight of the full-scale Long March 10 is projected for 2027.
Images shared on social media show a test stage of the Long March 10 (CZ-10) floating at sea.
The Long March 10 first stage deployed hooking arms prior to splashdown.
Two hours before the CZ-10 test flight, a photo showed three engines with red protective covers and one engine without a cover.