长征十号
Family-level launch record combining canonical variants, historical missions, public cadence forecasts, and available payload performance specs.
Historical missions are grouped by actual launch year. Forecast cadence uses family-level launch-rate rows.
| Year | Historical missions | Forecast launches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 4 |
| 2027 | 0 | 4 |
| 2028 | 0 | 6 |
| 2029 | 0 | 8 |
| 2030 | 0 | 10 |
| 2031 | 0 | 10 |
| 2032 | 0 | 10 |
| 2033 | 0 | 12 |
| 2034 | 0 | 12 |
| 2035 | 0 | 12 |
| 2036 | 0 | 12 |
| 2037 | 0 | 12 |
| 2038 | 0 | 12 |
| 2039 | 0 | 12 |
| 2040 | 0 | 12 |
| 2041 | 0 | 12 |
Payload capacity by variant and target orbit when structured capacity rows are available.
| Variant | Orbit | Capacity | Altitude | Inclination | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Long March 10 | LEO | 70,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | GlobalSecurity CZ-10 |
Long March 10 | TLI | 27,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | China State Council Long March 10 |
Latest launched missions using variants in this family.
| Mission | Variant | Launch |
|---|---|---|
| CX-26 Mission | Long March 10B | Jul 10, 2026 |
Upcoming mission rows with announced launch timing.
| Mission | Variant | Announced |
|---|---|---|
No forecasted missionsNo upcoming announced mission rows are linked to this vehicle family. | ||
Canonical variants rolled up into this launch vehicle family.
| Variant | Stages | Missions | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
Long March 10 | Not stated | 0 | Development |
Long March 10A | Not stated | 0 | Development |
Long March 10B | 2 | 1 | Active |
1 launch location represented.
| Year | Location | Launches | Confidence | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 4 | 20% | Chinese development heavy-launch variant; low-confidence default below mature Long March family rates. |
| 2027 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 4 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2028 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 6 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2029 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 8 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2030 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 10 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2031 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 10 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2032 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 10 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2033 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2034 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2035 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2036 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2037 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2038 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2039 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2040 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2041 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
Chinese development heavy-launch variant; low-confidence default below mature Long March family rates.
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
Long March 10B | LEO | 16,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | RocketLaunch.org Long March 10B |
Long March 10A | LEO | 14,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | China State Council Long March 10 Derivative |
The Long March 10A performed a first stage recovery test.
Long March 10 Stage 1 test article experienced a splashdown.
The Long March 10A first stage splashed down.
The Long March 10 first stage safely splashed down in a predetermined sea area on February 11, 2026.
A forthcoming CZ-10 test is likely a Max-Q abort test.
The Feb. 10 test simultaneously validated a high-altitude launch abort system for the Mengzhou crew capsule and a controlled, propulsive landing of the Long March 10 first stage.
The Long March 10A first stage splashed down.
The Long March 10 features a reusable first-stage architecture similar to SpaceX’s Falcon 9 but optimized for the higher thrust requirements of a lunar trajectory.
The Mengzhou spacecraft was mounted on top of a Long March 10A first stage during the launch.
The CZ-10 test article was fitted with the Mengzhou capsule for an upcoming Max-Q and booster splashdown recovery test.
The Long March 10 test vehicle lifted off.
The test booster for the Long March 10 was recovered using grid fins and a propulsive burn.
The CZ-10 short test vehicle is a full-scale 1:1 test article intended for a Max-Q test.
The CZ-10 test vehicle bears the national flag of China on its side.
The Mengzhou capsule on the CZ-10 test article appears to be intermediate between a boilerplate and a full flight capsule.
The CZ-10 stage will undergo a reentry phase.
The cable-catching mechanism for the Long March 10A recovery system did not appear to be deployed during the splashdown.
The CZ-10 test vehicle broke up during splashdown at the connection between the static stage and the inter/grid-fin stage.
The CZ-10 test article on the pad is the same short test vehicle previously used for a static fire test for the LM-10A.
The cable-catching mechanism for the Long March 10A first stage did not appear to be deployed during the splashdown recovery.