长征十号
Family-level launch record combining canonical variants, historical missions, public cadence forecasts, and available payload performance specs.
Historical missions are grouped by actual launch year. Forecast cadence uses family-level launch-rate rows.
| Year | Historical missions | Forecast launches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 4 |
| 2027 | 0 | 4 |
| 2028 | 0 | 6 |
| 2029 | 0 | 8 |
| 2030 | 0 | 10 |
| 2031 | 0 | 10 |
| 2032 | 0 | 10 |
| 2033 | 0 | 12 |
| 2034 | 0 | 12 |
| 2035 | 0 | 12 |
| 2036 | 0 | 12 |
| 2037 | 0 | 12 |
| 2038 | 0 | 12 |
| 2039 | 0 | 12 |
| 2040 | 0 | 12 |
| 2041 | 0 | 12 |
Payload capacity by variant and target orbit when structured capacity rows are available.
| Variant | Orbit | Capacity | Altitude | Inclination | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Long March 10 | LEO | 70,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | GlobalSecurity CZ-10 |
Long March 10 | TLI | 27,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | China State Council Long March 10 |
Latest launched missions using variants in this family.
| Mission | Variant | Launch |
|---|---|---|
| CX-26 Mission | Long March 10B | Jul 10, 2026 |
Upcoming mission rows with announced launch timing.
| Mission | Variant | Announced |
|---|---|---|
No forecasted missionsNo upcoming announced mission rows are linked to this vehicle family. | ||
Canonical variants rolled up into this launch vehicle family.
| Variant | Stages | Missions | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
Long March 10 | Not stated | 0 | Development |
Long March 10A | Not stated | 0 | Development |
Long March 10B | 2 | 1 | Active |
1 launch location represented.
| Year | Location | Launches | Confidence | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 4 | 20% | Chinese development heavy-launch variant; low-confidence default below mature Long March family rates. |
| 2027 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 4 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2028 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 6 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2029 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 8 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2030 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 10 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2031 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 10 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2032 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 10 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2033 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2034 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2035 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2036 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2037 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2038 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2039 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2040 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2041 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
Chinese development heavy-launch variant; low-confidence default below mature Long March family rates.
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
Long March 10B | LEO | 16,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | RocketLaunch.org Long March 10B |
Long March 10A | LEO | 14,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | China State Council Long March 10 Derivative |
The Long March 10A test booster continued its flight after the Mengzhou capsule test, performed a simulated catch next to the autonomous recovery ship Linghangzhe and splashed down in the South China Sea.
The Long March 10A test booster guided itself next to the recovery ship Linghangzhe and performed a planned hover five meters above the sea.
Recovery teams retrieved the Long March 10A test booster’s remaining lower half and concluded recovery operations on February 13, 2026.
Rong Yi, an Expert Rocket Designer who led development of the Long March 10A while serving as the Long March 2F’s Chief Designer, led the booster’s development.
The Long March 10A test booster’s boilerplate upper half sheared off upon contact with the sea surface after splashdown.
The Long March 10 rocket’s third stage uses three hydrogen-burning YF-75DA engines.
The Long March 10A test booster performed a pseudo-entry burn during its flight to demonstrate part of reusable first-stage flight.
The tri-core Long March 10 moon rocket had its second and third stages fired on test stands sometime in 2025.
The Long March 10A test booster passed just above the Kármán line and reached a peak altitude of 105 kilometers during its February 11 flight.
Two grid fins were deployed on the Long March 10A test booster during reentry, and one grid fin failed to unfurl correctly, leading flight computers to command the fin opposite to remain stowed.
The Long March 10 rocket’s second stage is equipped with two vacuum-optimized YF-100M engines while the Long March 10A’s second stage is expected to have one YF-100M engine.
The propulsion test of Tricore CZ-10's hydrolox third stage was conducted at AALPT's 101st test site.
Pad-301 for the Chang Zheng 10 (CZ-10/CZ-10A) launch complex was not fully completed at the time of the CZ-10 test vehicle launch.
Long March 10 (CZ-10) and the Mengzhou test vehicle were photographed during a launch on February 14, 2026.
AALPT tested the propulsion system of Tricore CZ-10's hydrolox third stage.
All CZ-10 stages have been individually hot fired.
The Long March 10A described in the post is identified as a test vehicle.
The Long March 10A test vehicle first stage was recovered from the ocean.
The cable-catching mechanism for the Long March 10A recovery system appeared not to be deployed during the observed recovery.
The upper section of the Long March 10A test vehicle sheared off from the propellant tanks upon splashdown impact.