长征十号
Family-level launch record combining canonical variants, historical missions, public cadence forecasts, and available payload performance specs.
Historical missions are grouped by actual launch year. Forecast cadence uses family-level launch-rate rows.
| Year | Historical missions | Forecast launches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 4 |
| 2027 | 0 | 4 |
| 2028 | 0 | 6 |
| 2029 | 0 | 8 |
| 2030 | 0 | 10 |
| 2031 | 0 | 10 |
| 2032 | 0 | 10 |
| 2033 | 0 | 12 |
| 2034 | 0 | 12 |
| 2035 | 0 | 12 |
| 2036 | 0 | 12 |
| 2037 | 0 | 12 |
| 2038 | 0 | 12 |
| 2039 | 0 | 12 |
| 2040 | 0 | 12 |
| 2041 | 0 | 12 |
Payload capacity by variant and target orbit when structured capacity rows are available.
| Variant | Orbit | Capacity | Altitude | Inclination | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Long March 10 | LEO | 70,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | GlobalSecurity CZ-10 |
Long March 10 | TLI | 27,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | China State Council Long March 10 |
Latest launched missions using variants in this family.
| Mission | Variant | Launch |
|---|---|---|
| CX-26 Mission | Long March 10B | Jul 10, 2026 |
Upcoming mission rows with announced launch timing.
| Mission | Variant | Announced |
|---|---|---|
No forecasted missionsNo upcoming announced mission rows are linked to this vehicle family. | ||
Canonical variants rolled up into this launch vehicle family.
| Variant | Stages | Missions | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
Long March 10 | Not stated | 0 | Development |
Long March 10A | Not stated | 0 | Development |
Long March 10B | 2 | 1 | Active |
1 launch location represented.
| Year | Location | Launches | Confidence | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 4 | 20% | Chinese development heavy-launch variant; low-confidence default below mature Long March family rates. |
| 2027 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 4 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2028 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 6 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2029 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 8 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2030 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 10 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2031 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 10 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2032 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 10 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2033 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2034 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2035 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2036 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2037 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2038 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2039 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2040 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
| 2041 | Wenchang Space Launch Site | 12 | 22% | China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume con... |
Chinese development heavy-launch variant; low-confidence default below mature Long March family rates.
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
China launch cadence curve: active Long March/Gravity families scale from current low-confidence static defaults toward an analytically modeled high-volume constellation deploymen...
Long March 10B | LEO | 16,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | RocketLaunch.org Long March 10B |
Long March 10A | LEO | 14,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | China State Council Long March 10 Derivative |
The CZ-10 test article on the pad is the same one previously used for the static fire.
The CZ-10 test article is a full-scale 1:1 test article for a Max-Q test.
A possible CZ-10 hopper or mock-up is lifting up onto the pad.
The CZ-10 first stage appears to have grid fins.
CZ-10 cargo missions are expected to occur in 2027.
The Long March 10A rocket is vertical at the launch pad.
CZ-10 crew missions are planned for 2028.
A second-stage mockup and the Mengzhou will be added to the CZ-10 test article soon.
CALT has compatible rockets CZ-10 and CZ-12/12A.
The idea of using a barge for landing Long March 8 rockets was scrapped in favor of starting with the Long March 10 series.
1 out of 4 lightning towers has been completed for the CZ-10 series pad.
The Pad 301 at WSLC is associated with the CZ-10 series.
Flight data for the Long March 10 series launch vehicles' engines has been gathered using the YF-100K on the Long March 12 and the YF-75DA on the Long March 8A.
The Long March 10 series of launch vehicles includes the Long March 102 Moon rocket and Long March 10A3.
A Long March 10 series static fire article was placed on Launch Complex 301’s mobile launch platform at Wenchang and conducted a seven-engine 30-second static fire test in August 2025 to demonstrate YF-100K simultaneous ignition.
The Long March 10B is a new commercially-focused variant of the Long March 10 series, introduced by China Long March Rocket Co Ltd.
The Long March 10B is highly similar to the Long March 10A, featuring a two-stage partially reusable design with seven YF-100K engines.
The Long March 10A has a payload capacity of 14,000 kilograms into low Earth orbit.
China Rocket aims for the two Long March 10 vehicles to jointly achieve fifty flights per year.
The Long March 10A variant is designed for the Mengzhou crew spacecraft.