Family-level launch record combining canonical variants, historical missions, public cadence forecasts, and available payload performance specs.
Historical missions are grouped by actual launch year. Forecast cadence uses family-level launch-rate rows.
| Year | Historical missions | Forecast launches |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 11 | 0 |
| 2020 | 25 | 0 |
| 2021 | 31 | 0 |
| 2022 | 60 | 0 |
| 2023 | 91 | 0 |
| 2024 | 132 | 0 |
| 2025 | 165 | 0 |
| 2026 | 82 | 140 |
| 2027 | 0 | 157 |
| 2028 | 0 | 185 |
| 2029 | 0 | 203 |
| 2030 | 0 | 211 |
| 2031 | 0 | 211 |
| 2032 | 0 | 210 |
| 2033 | 0 | 209 |
| 2034 | 0 | 209 |
| 2035 | 0 |
Payload capacity by variant and target orbit when structured capacity rows are available.
| Variant | Orbit | Capacity | Altitude | Inclination | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Falcon 9 | LEO | 22,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | SpaceX Capabilities & Services |
Falcon 9 FT5 | LEO | 22,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | SpaceX Capabilities & Services (live vehicle spec sheet) |
Latest launched missions using variants in this family.
| Mission | Variant | Launch |
|---|---|---|
| Starlink-408 | Falcon 9 FT5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Starlink-407 | Falcon 9 FT5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Transporter-17 | Falcon 9 FT5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Starlink-406 |
Canonical variants rolled up into this launch vehicle family.
| Variant | Stages | Missions | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
Falcon 9 | Not stated | 7 | Retired |
Falcon 9 1.1 | Not stated | 14 | Retired |
Falcon 9 FT3 | Not stated | 24 | Retired |
Falcon 9 FT4 | Not stated | 12 | Retired |
| 209 |
| 2036 | 0 | 209 |
| 2037 | 0 | 209 |
| 2038 | 0 | 209 |
| 2039 | 0 | 209 |
| 2040 | 0 | 209 |
| 2041 | 0 | 209 |
4 launch locations represented.
| Year | Location | Launches | Confidence | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 85 | 85% | SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-sh... |
| 2026 | Launch Complex 39A, NASA Kennedy Space Center, Florida (NASA John F. Kennedy Space Center, Florida) | 15 | 65% | LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vand... |
| 2026 | Space Launch Complex 4-East, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 40 | 85% | SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also ... |
| 2026 | Space Launch Complex 6, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 0 | 65% | SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below... |
| 2027 | Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 95 | 85% | SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-sh... |
| 2027 | Launch Complex 39A, NASA Kennedy Space Center, Florida (NASA John F. Kennedy Space Center, Florida) | 12 | 65% | LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vand... |
| 2027 | Space Launch Complex 4-East, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 45 | 85% | SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also ... |
| 2027 | Space Launch Complex 6, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 5 | 65% | SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below... |
| 2028 | Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 105 | 85% | SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-sh... |
| 2028 | Launch Complex 39A, NASA Kennedy Space Center, Florida (NASA John F. Kennedy Space Center, Florida) | 10 | 65% | LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vand... |
| 2028 | Space Launch Complex 4-East, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 50 | 85% | SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also ... |
| 2028 | Space Launch Complex 6, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 20 | 65% | SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below... |
| 2029 | Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 110 | 85% | SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-sh... |
| 2029 | Launch Complex 39A, NASA Kennedy Space Center, Florida (NASA John F. Kennedy Space Center, Florida) | 8 | 65% | LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vand... |
| 2029 | Space Launch Complex 4-East, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 50 | 85% | SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also ... |
| 2029 | Space Launch Complex 6, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 35 | 65% | SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below... |
| 2030 | Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 110 | 85% | SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-sh... |
| 2030 | Launch Complex 39A, NASA Kennedy Space Center, Florida (NASA John F. Kennedy Space Center, Florida) | 6 | 65% | LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vand... |
| 2030 | Space Launch Complex 4-East, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 50 | 85% | SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also ... |
| 2030 | Space Launch Complex 6, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 45 | 65% | SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below... |
| 2031 | Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 110 | 85% | SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-sh... |
| 2031 | Launch Complex 39A, NASA Kennedy Space Center, Florida (NASA John F. Kennedy Space Center, Florida) | 6 | 65% | LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vand... |
| 2031 | Space Launch Complex 4-East, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 50 | 85% | SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also ... |
| 2031 | Space Launch Complex 6, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 45 | 65% | SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below... |
SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-ship cycles, and Stars...
LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vandenberg as Starship i...
SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also online.
SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below SLC-4E.
SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-ship cycles, and Stars...
Falcon 9 FT5 | LEO | 17,400 kg | Unknown | Unknown | Falcon 9 - Wikipedia (citing SpaceX Capabilities & Services spec sheet, archived 2025-08-06) |
Falcon 9 FT5 | GTO | 8,300 kg | Unknown | Unknown | SpaceX Falcon 9 vehicle page |
Falcon 9 | GTO | 8,300 kg | Unknown | 28.5 deg | SpaceX Capabilities & Services |
Falcon 9 | SSO | 7,742 kg | 500 km | 97.4 deg | SpaceX Falcon 9 User's Guide 2009, Table 4-3 via Spaceflight Now |
Falcon 9 FT5 | SSO | 7,742 kg | 500 km | 97.4 deg | SpaceX Falcon 9 User's Guide 2009, Table 4-3 via Spaceflight Now |
Falcon 9 FT5 | GTO | 5,800 kg | Unknown | Unknown | Falcon 9 - Wikipedia (citing SpaceX Capabilities & Services spec sheet, archived 2025-08-06) |
Falcon 9 | GTO | 5,500 kg | Unknown | 28.5 deg | SpaceX Capabilities & Services |
Falcon 9 FT5 | escape | 4,020 kg | Unknown | Unknown | SpaceX Falcon 9 vehicle page |
Falcon 9 | escape | 4,020 kg | Unknown | Unknown | SpaceX Capabilities & Services |
Falcon 9 FT5 |
| Jul 5, 2026 |
| Starlink-405 | Falcon 9 FT5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| SXM-11 Mission | Falcon 9 FT5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Starlink-404 | Falcon 9 FT5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Starlink-403 | Falcon 9 FT5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Upcoming mission rows with announced launch timing.
| Mission | Variant | Announced |
|---|---|---|
No forecasted missionsNo upcoming announced mission rows are linked to this vehicle family. | ||
Falcon 9 FT5 | Not stated | 606 | Active |
LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vandenberg as Starship i...
SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also online.
SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below SLC-4E.
SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-ship cycles, and Stars...
LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vandenberg as Starship i...
SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also online.
SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below SLC-4E.
The Falcon 9 vehicle is authorized to return to flight following the Starlink 17-32 investigation.
The Federal Aviation Administration authorized SpaceX to resume Falcon 9 launches.
The final mishap report identifies the probable root cause as the Falcon 9 stage 2 engine's failure to ignite prior to the deorbit burn.
The SERV spacecraft bus has a 1.5-ton dry mass configured to fit within standard Falcon 9 fairing dimensions.
The Starlink satellites on the affected Falcon 9 mission were successfully deployed.
The Falcon 9 grounding could potentially delay NASA Crew-12, which is currently slated to launch on February 11.
SpaceX has paused flights of its Falcon 9 rocket after a Falcon 9 second stage experienced an off-nominal condition during preparation for the deorbit burn.
The Federal Aviation Administration is investigating the Falcon 9 mishap from Monday.
On the Starlink Group 17-32 mission, the Falcon 9 second stage was unable to deorbit itself.
The first two MVac burns on that Falcon 9 mission were nominal and deployed all 25 Starlink satellites to their intended orbit.
The Falcon 9 upper stage that re-entered over Poland in early 2025 was associated with the Starlink 15-4 mission.
Amazon added 10 additional Falcon 9 launches and 12 more New Glenn missions to its launch manifest in January 2026.
A Falcon 9 second-stage de-orbit anomaly occurred on the Starlink 9-3 mission in 2024 during the mission's primary phase.
During the Falcon 9 launch of Starlink satellites on the Starlink Group 17-32 mission, the Falcon 9 second stage experienced an off-nominal condition during preparation for the deorbit burn.
Propellant was vented from the Falcon 9 second stage on Starlink Group 17-32, lowering the stage perigee to 110 km.
Five Falcon 9 second-stage de-orbit problems occurred in 2020–2021 on Starlink missions L4, L12, L14, L17, and 2-1.
The Falcon 9 second stage performed as designed to successfully passivate the stage after the off-nominal condition.
The first two MVac burns on the Falcon 9 mission were nominal and deployed all 25 Starlink satellites to their intended orbit.
The Falcon 9 vehicle performed passivation of the second stage after the off-nominal condition.
Amazon booked its first three Falcon 9 launches with SpaceX in December 2023 to place prototype satellites into orbit.