Family-level launch record combining canonical variants, historical missions, public cadence forecasts, and available payload performance specs.
Historical missions are grouped by actual launch year. Forecast cadence uses family-level launch-rate rows.
| Year | Historical missions | Forecast launches |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 11 | 0 |
| 2020 | 25 | 0 |
| 2021 | 31 | 0 |
| 2022 | 60 | 0 |
| 2023 | 91 | 0 |
| 2024 | 132 | 0 |
| 2025 | 165 | 0 |
| 2026 | 82 | 140 |
| 2027 | 0 | 157 |
| 2028 | 0 | 185 |
| 2029 | 0 | 203 |
| 2030 | 0 | 211 |
| 2031 | 0 | 211 |
| 2032 | 0 | 210 |
| 2033 | 0 | 209 |
| 2034 | 0 | 209 |
| 2035 | 0 |
Payload capacity by variant and target orbit when structured capacity rows are available.
| Variant | Orbit | Capacity | Altitude | Inclination | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Falcon 9 | LEO | 22,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | SpaceX Capabilities & Services |
Falcon 9 FT5 | LEO | 22,000 kg | Unknown | Unknown | SpaceX Capabilities & Services (live vehicle spec sheet) |
Latest launched missions using variants in this family.
| Mission | Variant | Launch |
|---|---|---|
| Starlink-408 | Falcon 9 FT5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Starlink-407 | Falcon 9 FT5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Transporter-17 | Falcon 9 FT5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Starlink-406 |
Canonical variants rolled up into this launch vehicle family.
| Variant | Stages | Missions | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
Falcon 9 | Not stated | 7 | Retired |
Falcon 9 1.1 | Not stated | 14 | Retired |
Falcon 9 FT3 | Not stated | 24 | Retired |
Falcon 9 FT4 | Not stated | 12 | Retired |
| 209 |
| 2036 | 0 | 209 |
| 2037 | 0 | 209 |
| 2038 | 0 | 209 |
| 2039 | 0 | 209 |
| 2040 | 0 | 209 |
| 2041 | 0 | 209 |
4 launch locations represented.
| Year | Location | Launches | Confidence | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 85 | 85% | SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-sh... |
| 2026 | Launch Complex 39A, NASA Kennedy Space Center, Florida (NASA John F. Kennedy Space Center, Florida) | 15 | 65% | LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vand... |
| 2026 | Space Launch Complex 4-East, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 40 | 85% | SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also ... |
| 2026 | Space Launch Complex 6, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 0 | 65% | SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below... |
| 2027 | Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 95 | 85% | SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-sh... |
| 2027 | Launch Complex 39A, NASA Kennedy Space Center, Florida (NASA John F. Kennedy Space Center, Florida) | 12 | 65% | LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vand... |
| 2027 | Space Launch Complex 4-East, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 45 | 85% | SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also ... |
| 2027 | Space Launch Complex 6, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 5 | 65% | SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below... |
| 2028 | Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 105 | 85% | SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-sh... |
| 2028 | Launch Complex 39A, NASA Kennedy Space Center, Florida (NASA John F. Kennedy Space Center, Florida) | 10 | 65% | LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vand... |
| 2028 | Space Launch Complex 4-East, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 50 | 85% | SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also ... |
| 2028 | Space Launch Complex 6, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 20 | 65% | SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below... |
| 2029 | Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 110 | 85% | SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-sh... |
| 2029 | Launch Complex 39A, NASA Kennedy Space Center, Florida (NASA John F. Kennedy Space Center, Florida) | 8 | 65% | LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vand... |
| 2029 | Space Launch Complex 4-East, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 50 | 85% | SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also ... |
| 2029 | Space Launch Complex 6, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 35 | 65% | SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below... |
| 2030 | Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 110 | 85% | SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-sh... |
| 2030 | Launch Complex 39A, NASA Kennedy Space Center, Florida (NASA John F. Kennedy Space Center, Florida) | 6 | 65% | LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vand... |
| 2030 | Space Launch Complex 4-East, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 50 | 85% | SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also ... |
| 2030 | Space Launch Complex 6, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 45 | 65% | SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below... |
| 2031 | Space Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 110 | 85% | SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-sh... |
| 2031 | Launch Complex 39A, NASA Kennedy Space Center, Florida (NASA John F. Kennedy Space Center, Florida) | 6 | 65% | LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vand... |
| 2031 | Space Launch Complex 4-East, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 50 | 85% | SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also ... |
| 2031 | Space Launch Complex 6, Vandenberg AFB (South Vandenberg AFB, California) | 45 | 65% | SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below... |
SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-ship cycles, and Stars...
LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vandenberg as Starship i...
SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also online.
SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below SLC-4E.
SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-ship cycles, and Stars...
Falcon 9 FT5 | LEO | 17,400 kg | Unknown | Unknown | Falcon 9 - Wikipedia (citing SpaceX Capabilities & Services spec sheet, archived 2025-08-06) |
Falcon 9 FT5 | GTO | 8,300 kg | Unknown | Unknown | SpaceX Falcon 9 vehicle page |
Falcon 9 | GTO | 8,300 kg | Unknown | 28.5 deg | SpaceX Capabilities & Services |
Falcon 9 | SSO | 7,742 kg | 500 km | 97.4 deg | SpaceX Falcon 9 User's Guide 2009, Table 4-3 via Spaceflight Now |
Falcon 9 FT5 | SSO | 7,742 kg | 500 km | 97.4 deg | SpaceX Falcon 9 User's Guide 2009, Table 4-3 via Spaceflight Now |
Falcon 9 FT5 | GTO | 5,800 kg | Unknown | Unknown | Falcon 9 - Wikipedia (citing SpaceX Capabilities & Services spec sheet, archived 2025-08-06) |
Falcon 9 | GTO | 5,500 kg | Unknown | 28.5 deg | SpaceX Capabilities & Services |
Falcon 9 FT5 | escape | 4,020 kg | Unknown | Unknown | SpaceX Falcon 9 vehicle page |
Falcon 9 | escape | 4,020 kg | Unknown | Unknown | SpaceX Capabilities & Services |
Falcon 9 FT5 |
| Jul 5, 2026 |
| Starlink-405 | Falcon 9 FT5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| SXM-11 Mission | Falcon 9 FT5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Starlink-404 | Falcon 9 FT5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Starlink-403 | Falcon 9 FT5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Upcoming mission rows with announced launch timing.
| Mission | Variant | Announced |
|---|---|---|
No forecasted missionsNo upcoming announced mission rows are linked to this vehicle family. | ||
Falcon 9 FT5 | Not stated | 606 | Active |
LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vandenberg as Starship i...
SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also online.
SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below SLC-4E.
SLC-40 is the Falcon high-throughput workhorse. Base stays below the FAA-analyzed 120/year cap to reflect range weather, maintenance, pad turnarounds, drone-ship cycles, and Stars...
LC-39A remains useful for crewed Dragon, high-priority NASA/commercial missions, and Falcon Heavy, but Falcon 9 single-stick work shifts toward SLC-40 and Vandenberg as Starship i...
SLC-4E already supports high polar/SSO and NRO/Starshield cadence. Base rises to about half of the authorized VSFB combined Falcon capacity once SLC-6 is also online.
SLC-6 provides the main incremental West Coast capacity. Ramp starts after pad modifications and operational shakeout, then reaches a mature cadence just below SLC-4E.
Crew-12 launched aboard a SpaceX Dragon spacecraft atop a Falcon 9 rocket from Space Launch Complex 40.
Falcon 9 propellant load was underway on February 13, 2026.
The Long March 10 features a reusable first-stage architecture similar to SpaceX’s Falcon 9 but optimized for the higher thrust requirements of a lunar trajectory.
SpaceX is targeting no earlier than February 13 for Falcon 9's launch of NASA's Crew-12 due to elevated winds in the ascent corridor.
SpaceX Crew-12 will lift off from Cape Canaveral in Florida to the International Space Station on a Falcon 9 rocket.
The Ariane 64 provides a heavy-lift alternative to SpaceX’s Falcon 9 for global satellite operators and European defense agencies.
United Launch Alliance's Vulcan mission USSF-87 and SpaceX's Falcon 9 carrying Crew-12 are scheduled to launch within two hours of each other from neighboring pads located 2.5 kilometers apart.
SpaceX Crew-12 is slated to launch on a Falcon 9 Block 5 from Space Launch Complex 40 (SLC-40) at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station.
SpaceX's Falcon 9 is targeted to launch Crew-12 to the International Space Station no earlier than Thursday, February 12, 2026.
SpaceX accounted for 101 of the 109 launches from Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in 2025 using Falcon 9.
Falcon 9 upper stage dry mass is 4.5 tons according to SpaceX numbers, and the analysis uses 6 tons dry mass to account for tank rigidization, landing legs, and docking mechanisms.
Launch Complex 39A will remain active to support Falcon Heavy and a limited number of Falcon 9 launches.
SpaceX plans to use Kennedy Space Center LC-39A almost exclusively for Falcon Heavy and Starship launches while flying Falcon 9 launches, including crewed missions, from SLC-40.
Amazon purchased 10 additional SpaceX Falcon 9 launches in late 2025 in addition to three previously purchased Falcon 9 launches.
Falcon 9 is targeting Wednesday, February 11 for the launch of NASA’s Crew-12 mission to the International Space Station.
Falcon 9 completed a static fire test.
SpaceX grounded all flights on its Falcon 9 rocket while it investigates an unspecified issue.
Falcon 9’s second stage experienced an off-nominal condition ahead of the deorbit burn on the Starlink Group 17-32 mission, resulting in a failure to ignite the engine.
A Falcon 9 rocket and a Dragon spacecraft were rolled out to SLC-40 in Florida for NASA’s Crew-12 mission.
Launch Complex 39A will remain active to support Falcon Heavy launches and a limited number of Falcon 9 launches despite the Starship transition.