Family-level launch record combining canonical variants, historical missions, public cadence forecasts, and available payload performance specs.
Historical missions are grouped by actual launch year. Forecast cadence uses family-level launch-rate rows.
| Year | Historical missions | Forecast launches |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 1 | 0 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026 | 1 | 3 |
| 2027 | 0 | 5 |
| 2028 | 0 | 7 |
| 2029 | 0 | 8 |
| 2030 | 0 | 9 |
| 2031 | 0 | 9 |
| 2032 | 0 | 9 |
| 2033 | 0 | 9 |
| 2034 | 0 | 9 |
| 2035 | 0 | 9 |
| 2036 | 0 | 9 |
| 2037 | 0 | 9 |
Payload capacity by variant and target orbit when structured capacity rows are available.
| Variant | Orbit | Capacity | Altitude | Inclination | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firefly Alpha | LEO | 1,030 kg | 300 km | Unknown | Firefly Alpha Payload User Guide |
| Firefly Alpha | LEO | 630 kg | 500 km | Unknown | Firefly Alpha Payload User Guide |
Latest launched missions using variants in this family.
| Mission | Variant | Launch |
|---|---|---|
| Stairway To Seven | Firefly Alpha | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Launch 2025-U01 | Firefly Alpha | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Noise of Summer | Firefly Alpha | Jul 4, 2024 |
| Fly the Lightning |
Canonical variants rolled up into this launch vehicle family.
| Variant | Stages | Missions | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Firefly Alpha | Not stated | 7 | Unknown |
| 2038 | 0 | 9 |
| 2039 | 0 | 9 |
| 2040 | 0 | 9 |
3 launch locations represented.
| Year | Location | Launches | Confidence | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | MARS Pad 0A | 0 | 45% | Pad 0A will support Alpha, Antares 330, and Eclipse. Base gives Alpha only occasional Wallops use because Pad 0A is strategically more valuable for Antares/Ecl... |
| 2026 | Space Launch Complex 20, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 0 | 30% | SLC-20 is included as a plausible future Florida Alpha option, but public evidence is weaker than Vandenberg/Wallops. Base treats it as occasional supplemental... |
| 2026 | Space Launch Complex 2-West, Vandenberg AFB (Vandenberg AFB, California) | 3 | 50% | Firefly has substantial Lockheed-driven manifest potential, but Alpha's reliability history means base ramp is deliberately slow. SLC-2W remains primary Alpha ... |
| 2027 | MARS Pad 0A | 1 | 45% | Pad 0A will support Alpha, Antares 330, and Eclipse. Base gives Alpha only occasional Wallops use because Pad 0A is strategically more valuable for Antares/Ecl... |
| 2027 | Space Launch Complex 20, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 0 | 30% | SLC-20 is included as a plausible future Florida Alpha option, but public evidence is weaker than Vandenberg/Wallops. Base treats it as occasional supplemental... |
| 2027 | Space Launch Complex 2-West, Vandenberg AFB (Vandenberg AFB, California) | 4 | 50% | Firefly has substantial Lockheed-driven manifest potential, but Alpha's reliability history means base ramp is deliberately slow. SLC-2W remains primary Alpha ... |
| 2028 | MARS Pad 0A | 1 | 45% | Pad 0A will support Alpha, Antares 330, and Eclipse. Base gives Alpha only occasional Wallops use because Pad 0A is strategically more valuable for Antares/Ecl... |
| 2028 | Space Launch Complex 20, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 1 | 30% | SLC-20 is included as a plausible future Florida Alpha option, but public evidence is weaker than Vandenberg/Wallops. Base treats it as occasional supplemental... |
| 2028 | Space Launch Complex 2-West, Vandenberg AFB (Vandenberg AFB, California) | 5 | 50% | Firefly has substantial Lockheed-driven manifest potential, but Alpha's reliability history means base ramp is deliberately slow. SLC-2W remains primary Alpha ... |
| 2029 | MARS Pad 0A | 1 | 45% | Pad 0A will support Alpha, Antares 330, and Eclipse. Base gives Alpha only occasional Wallops use because Pad 0A is strategically more valuable for Antares/Ecl... |
| 2029 | Space Launch Complex 20, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 1 | 30% | SLC-20 is included as a plausible future Florida Alpha option, but public evidence is weaker than Vandenberg/Wallops. Base treats it as occasional supplemental... |
| 2029 | Space Launch Complex 2-West, Vandenberg AFB (Vandenberg AFB, California) | 6 | 50% | Firefly has substantial Lockheed-driven manifest potential, but Alpha's reliability history means base ramp is deliberately slow. SLC-2W remains primary Alpha ... |
| 2030 | MARS Pad 0A | 1 | 45% | Pad 0A will support Alpha, Antares 330, and Eclipse. Base gives Alpha only occasional Wallops use because Pad 0A is strategically more valuable for Antares/Ecl... |
| 2030 | Space Launch Complex 20, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 2 | 30% | SLC-20 is included as a plausible future Florida Alpha option, but public evidence is weaker than Vandenberg/Wallops. Base treats it as occasional supplemental... |
| 2030 | Space Launch Complex 2-West, Vandenberg AFB (Vandenberg AFB, California) | 6 | 50% | Firefly has substantial Lockheed-driven manifest potential, but Alpha's reliability history means base ramp is deliberately slow. SLC-2W remains primary Alpha ... |
| 2031 | MARS Pad 0A | 1 | 45% | Pad 0A will support Alpha, Antares 330, and Eclipse. Base gives Alpha only occasional Wallops use because Pad 0A is strategically more valuable for Antares/Ecl... |
| 2031 | Space Launch Complex 20, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 2 | 30% | SLC-20 is included as a plausible future Florida Alpha option, but public evidence is weaker than Vandenberg/Wallops. Base treats it as occasional supplemental... |
| 2031 | Space Launch Complex 2-West, Vandenberg AFB (Vandenberg AFB, California) | 6 | 50% | Firefly has substantial Lockheed-driven manifest potential, but Alpha's reliability history means base ramp is deliberately slow. SLC-2W remains primary Alpha ... |
| 2032 | MARS Pad 0A | 1 | 45% | Pad 0A will support Alpha, Antares 330, and Eclipse. Base gives Alpha only occasional Wallops use because Pad 0A is strategically more valuable for Antares/Ecl... |
| 2032 | Space Launch Complex 20, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 2 | 30% | SLC-20 is included as a plausible future Florida Alpha option, but public evidence is weaker than Vandenberg/Wallops. Base treats it as occasional supplemental... |
| 2032 | Space Launch Complex 2-West, Vandenberg AFB (Vandenberg AFB, California) | 6 | 50% | Firefly has substantial Lockheed-driven manifest potential, but Alpha's reliability history means base ramp is deliberately slow. SLC-2W remains primary Alpha ... |
| 2033 | MARS Pad 0A | 1 | 45% | Pad 0A will support Alpha, Antares 330, and Eclipse. Base gives Alpha only occasional Wallops use because Pad 0A is strategically more valuable for Antares/Ecl... |
| 2033 | Space Launch Complex 20, Cape Canaveral (Cape Canaveral Air Station, Florida) | 2 | 30% | SLC-20 is included as a plausible future Florida Alpha option, but public evidence is weaker than Vandenberg/Wallops. Base treats it as occasional supplemental... |
| 2033 | Space Launch Complex 2-West, Vandenberg AFB (Vandenberg AFB, California) | 6 | 50% | Firefly has substantial Lockheed-driven manifest potential, but Alpha's reliability history means base ramp is deliberately slow. SLC-2W remains primary Alpha ... |
Pad 0A will support Alpha, Antares 330, and Eclipse. Base gives Alpha only occasional Wallops use because Pad 0A is strategically more valuable for Antares/Eclipse and because Alp...
SLC-20 is included as a plausible future Florida Alpha option, but public evidence is weaker than Vandenberg/Wallops. Base treats it as occasional supplemental capacity only.
Firefly has substantial Lockheed-driven manifest potential, but Alpha's reliability history means base ramp is deliberately slow. SLC-2W remains primary Alpha pad.
Pad 0A will support Alpha, Antares 330, and Eclipse. Base gives Alpha only occasional Wallops use because Pad 0A is strategically more valuable for Antares/Eclipse and because Alp...
SLC-20 is included as a plausible future Florida Alpha option, but public evidence is weaker than Vandenberg/Wallops. Base treats it as occasional supplemental capacity only.
| Firefly Alpha |
| Dec 22, 2023 |
| VICTUS NOX Mission | Firefly Alpha | Sep 15, 2023 |
| To The Black | Firefly Alpha | Oct 1, 2022 |
| Launch 2021-F08 | Firefly Alpha | Sep 3, 2021 |
Upcoming mission rows with announced launch timing.
| Mission | Variant | Announced |
|---|---|---|
No forecasted missionsNo upcoming announced mission rows are linked to this vehicle family. | ||
Firefly has substantial Lockheed-driven manifest potential, but Alpha's reliability history means base ramp is deliberately slow. SLC-2W remains primary Alpha pad.
Pad 0A will support Alpha, Antares 330, and Eclipse. Base gives Alpha only occasional Wallops use because Pad 0A is strategically more valuable for Antares/Eclipse and because Alp...
SLC-20 is included as a plausible future Florida Alpha option, but public evidence is weaker than Vandenberg/Wallops. Base treats it as occasional supplemental capacity only.
Firefly has substantial Lockheed-driven manifest potential, but Alpha's reliability history means base ramp is deliberately slow. SLC-2W remains primary Alpha pad.
Pad 0A will support Alpha, Antares 330, and Eclipse. Base gives Alpha only occasional Wallops use because Pad 0A is strategically more valuable for Antares/Eclipse and because Alp...
SLC-20 is included as a plausible future Florida Alpha option, but public evidence is weaker than Vandenberg/Wallops. Base treats it as occasional supplemental capacity only.
Firefly has substantial Lockheed-driven manifest potential, but Alpha's reliability history means base ramp is deliberately slow. SLC-2W remains primary Alpha pad.